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Original InvestigationsDialysis

Predictors of Arteriovenous Fistula Failure: A Post Hoc Analysis of the FAVOURED Study

Yong Pey See, Yeoungjee Cho, Elaine M. Pascoe, Alan Cass, Ashley Irish, David Voss, Kevan R. Polkinghorne, Lai Seong Hooi, Loke-Meng Ong, Peta-Anne Paul-Brent, Peter G. Kerr, Trevor A. Mori, Carmel M. Hawley, David W. Johnson and Andrea K. Viecelli; on behalf of the Omega 3 Fatty Acids (Fish Oils) and Aspirin in Vascular Access Outcomes in Renal Disease (FAVOURED) Study Collaborative Group
Kidney360 November 2020, 1 (11) 1259-1269; DOI: https://doi.org/10.34067/KID.0002732020
Yong Pey See
1Department of Nephrology, Princess Alexandra Hospital, Brisbane, Australia
2Department of Renal Medicine, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore
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  • ORCID record for Yong Pey See
Yeoungjee Cho
1Department of Nephrology, Princess Alexandra Hospital, Brisbane, Australia
3Australasian Kidney Trial Network, School of Medicine, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
4Translational Research Institute, Brisbane, Australia
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Elaine M. Pascoe
3Australasian Kidney Trial Network, School of Medicine, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
4Translational Research Institute, Brisbane, Australia
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Alan Cass
5Menzies School of Health Research, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, Australia
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Ashley Irish
6Department of Nephrology, Fiona Stanley Hospital, Perth, Australia
7Medical School, University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia
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David Voss
8Middlemore Renal Department, Counties Manukau Health, Auckland, New Zealand
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Kevan R. Polkinghorne
9Department of Nephrology, Monash Medical Centre, Melbourne, Australia
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Lai Seong Hooi
10Department of Medicine and Hemodialysis Unit, Hospital Sultanah Aminah, Johor Bahru, Malaysia
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Loke-Meng Ong
11Department of Nephrology, Penang Hospital, Georgetown, Malaysia
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Peta-Anne Paul-Brent
3Australasian Kidney Trial Network, School of Medicine, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
4Translational Research Institute, Brisbane, Australia
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Peter G. Kerr
9Department of Nephrology, Monash Medical Centre, Melbourne, Australia
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Trevor A. Mori
7Medical School, University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia
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Carmel M. Hawley
1Department of Nephrology, Princess Alexandra Hospital, Brisbane, Australia
3Australasian Kidney Trial Network, School of Medicine, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
4Translational Research Institute, Brisbane, Australia
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David W. Johnson
1Department of Nephrology, Princess Alexandra Hospital, Brisbane, Australia
3Australasian Kidney Trial Network, School of Medicine, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
4Translational Research Institute, Brisbane, Australia
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Andrea K. Viecelli
1Department of Nephrology, Princess Alexandra Hospital, Brisbane, Australia
3Australasian Kidney Trial Network, School of Medicine, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
4Translational Research Institute, Brisbane, Australia
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Abstract

Background An autologous arteriovenous fistula (AVF) is the preferred hemodialysis vascular access, but successful creation is hampered by high rates of AVF failure. This study aimed to evaluate patient and surgical factors associated with AVF failure to improve vascular access selection and outcomes.

Methods This is a post hoc analysis of all participants of FAVOURED, a multicenter, double-blind, multinational, randomized, placebo-controlled trial evaluating the effect of fish oil and/or aspirin in preventing AVF failure in patients receiving hemodialysis. The primary outcome of AVF failure was a composite of fistula thrombosis and/or abandonment and/or cannulation failure at 12 months post-AVF creation, and secondary outcomes included individual outcome components. Patient data (demographics, comorbidities, medications, and laboratory data) and surgical factors (surgical expertise, anesthetic, intraoperative heparin use) were examined using multivariable logistic regression analyses to evaluate associations with AVF failure.

Results Of 536 participants, 253 patients (47%) experienced AVF failure during the study period. The mean age was 55±14.4 years, 64% were male, 45% were diabetic, and 4% had peripheral vascular disease. Factors associated with AVF failure included female sex (odds ratio [OR], 1.79; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.20 to 2.68), lower diastolic BP (OR for higher DBP, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.74 to 0.99), presence of central venous catheter (OR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.02 to 2.20; P=0.04), and aspirin requirement (OR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.00 to 2.56).

Conclusions Female sex, requirement for aspirin therapy, requiring hemodialysis via a central venous catheter, and lower diastolic BP were factors associated with higher odds of AVF failure. These associations have potential implications for vascular access planning and warrant further studies.

  • dialysis
  • arteriovenous access
  • arteriovenous fistula
  • hemodialysis
  • hemodialysis access
  • vascular access

Introduction

An autologous arteriovenous fistula (AVF) is the vascular access of choice (1⇓⇓–4) for most patients requiring hemodialysis due to improved longevity once successfully established, lower associated mortality (5), and lower health costs (6) compared with an arteriovenous graft or central venous catheter (CVC). However, these long-term benefits are hampered by exceedingly high rates of early AVF failure due to thrombosis and maturation failure, affecting up to 60% of patients (7,8). It is thus not surprising that vascular-access function is one of the most critically important outcomes for patients on hemodialysis and their caregivers (9).

Previous studies have identified delayed nephrology care (10,11), smaller arterial (12,13) and venous (12⇓⇓⇓–16) caliber on sonographic evaluation, and demographic factors, such as older age and female sex (11,15,17⇓–19), to be associated with AVF failure, whereas greater surgical experience and use of regional anesthesia (20⇓⇓⇓⇓–25) were associated with better AVF outcomes. Unfortunately, many of these studies have shown inconsistent and conflicting outcomes, likely driven by differences in study populations, sample size, and methodology, and substantial heterogeneity of outcome definitions (7). Scoring systems incorporating multiple factors have been used to improve predictive scoring for AVF failure; although showing promise (26), they have not been shown to consistently predict vascular access outcomes when applied to different study populations (10). Furthermore, few studies have evaluated potentially modifiable predictors, such as surgical expertise or anesthetic technique, in different study populations, including Australian and New Zealand cohorts (27,28).

This post hoc analysis of the randomized controlled Omega 3 Fatty Acids (Fish Oils) and Aspirin in Vascular Access Outcomes in Renal Disease (FAVOURED) study conducted in Australia, New Zealand, Malaysia, and the United Kingdom was performed to identify potentially modifiable pre- and perioperative patient and surgical factors associated with AVF failure, defined as a clinically relevant composite outcome of thrombosis, abandonment, and/or failure to cannulate within 1 year of AVF creation in patients requiring hemodialysis.

Materials and Methods

The FAVOURED trial was a multicenter, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial conducted in 35 hemodialysis centers in Australia, New Zealand, Malaysia, and the United Kingdom investigating the effect of fish oil supplementation or aspirin on preventing AVF failure among patients recruited between August 2008 and February 2014. The trial was registered with the Australia and New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry (ACTRN12607000569404). The original two-by-two factorial design was amended in June 2011 to allow patients who required ongoing aspirin therapy to be randomized to fish oil or matching placebo, but they continued open-label aspirin use when deemed medically required (29). The FAVOURED trial had obtained approval from local human research ethics committees in all participating centers before trial commencement.

Adult patients aged ≥19 years, with stage 4 or 5 CKD, receiving or expected to receive hemodialysis within 12 months, and scheduled for AVF creation, were eligible for the study. Patients with significant bleeding risk or contraindication to use of the study agents were excluded. A detailed description of the study protocol has been published previously (30).

Patient-related factors collected at baseline before AVF creation included demographic data (i.e., sex, age, region of recruitment [Australia, New Zealand, and the United Kingdom collectively referred as ANZ versus Malaysia]), clinical information (i.e., body mass index; waist-hip ratio; baseline BP taken as per local practices; smoking history; cause of ESKD; presence of diabetes mellitus [DM]; hypertension; peripheral vascular disease [PVD]; ischemic heart disease; cerebrovascular disease status; presence of CVC; and medications such as statins, erythropoiesis-stimulating agents, calcium channel blockers, β-blockers, aspirin, and fish oil), and relevant blood investigations (i.e., full blood count, coagulation profile [international normalized ratio, activated partial thromboplastin time], serum calcium, phosphate, parathyroid hormone [PTH], LDL cholesterol, and glycated hemoglobin [hemoglobin A1c]) at the time of AVF creation. Recorded surgical factors included the type of anesthesia used (i.e., general, regional, or local), intraoperative heparin use, surgical expertise defined by level of training (i.e., trainee such as resident and registrar versus consultant), and type of AVF created (i.e., radiocephalic [RC], brachiocephalic, brachiobasilic, and others).

The primary outcome of AVF failure was a composite of fistula thrombosis and/or abandonment and/or cannulation failure at 12 months. Thrombosis was defined as the absence of a thrill or bruit by clinical examination and/or requirement of rescue intervention (medical thrombolysis or surgical thrombectomy). Abandonment was defined as permanent abandonment of the study AVF, including unsalvageable thrombosis of the study AVF, imaging showing that the study AVF was unusable or not amenable to any intervention for its improvement, insertion of another dialysis access (new AVF, arteriovenous graft, CVC, or peritoneal dialysis access), or ligation of the study AVF. Cannulation failure was defined as failure to successfully cannulate the study AVF during eight or more of 12 consecutive hemodialysis sessions during the cannulation assessment period (Supplemental Table 1).

Statistical Analyses

Baseline characteristics are presented as frequency (percentage), mean (± SD), or median (interquartile range), as appropriate. Differences between patients with and without AVF failure were analyzed using the independent t test or Mann–Whitney U test for continuous variables, according to data distribution. Chi-squared test and the Fisher exact test were performed for categoric variables, as appropriate.

Associations between factors and the composite outcome of AVF failure were examined by univariable and multivariable logistic regression. All patient factors that were found to be associated with AVF failure on univariable logistic regression with P values <0.2 were included in a multivariable logistic regression in model 1. DM was prespecified for inclusion in model 1 due to its clinical importance, regardless of P value on univariable logistic regression (31). Similarly, the use of study agents (open-label aspirin, randomized aspirin or matching placebo, and fish oil or matching placebo) was included in model 1 because these agents were randomized interventions from the original FAVOURED trial. Surgical factors associated with AVF failure on univariable analysis (P<0.2) or prespecified for inclusion due to its clinical importance (i.e., type of anesthesia, surgical expertise) (24) were then included to patient factors in model 1 to derive model 2. Factors with >5% missing data were excluded from multivariable logistic regression. On preliminary analysis, sex-specific differences in diastolic BP (DBP) and site of AVF created were observed and, therefore, interactions between DBP and sex, and site of AVF and sex, on AVF failures were examined. Model fit was evaluated using the Hosmer–Lemeshow test, and diagnostic accuracy was tested by the area under the operating characteristic curve (AUC). Subsequently, model 2 was applied to determine factors associated with individual, cause-specific components of AVF failure (i.e., AVF thrombosis, abandonment, and failure to cannulate at 12 months). P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant. Statistical analyses were performed with Stata version 14.1 (Stata Corporation, College Station, TX).

Results

Study Participants

All 536 participants randomized and analyzed in the original FAVOURED study were included in this study (30). Among those recruited, 334 participants were enrolled from Australia (62%), 144 from Malaysia (27%), 49 from New Zealand (9%), and nine from the United Kingdom (2%). The baseline characteristics for participants with and without AVF failure are shown in Table 1. More than 5% missing data were present for laboratory parameters, including hemoglobin A1c, LDL cholesterol, international normalized ratio, activated partial thromboplastin time, and PTH levels.

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Table 1.

Baseline characteristics of the study population

Predictors of AVF Failure

AVF failure occurred in 253 participants (47%); 109 participants experienced at least one episode of AVF thrombosis, 121 participants had AVF abandonment, and 212 participants experienced cannulation failure. On univariable logistic regression, female sex, older age, non-Malaysian region of recruitment, absence of hypertension, lower DBP and mean arterial pressure, higher PTH level, and open-labeled (i.e., medically required) aspirin use were statistically significantly associated with increased odds of AVF failure (Table 2). Surgical expertise, type of anesthesia used, intraoperative anticoagulation use, or the type of AVF created were not associated with AVF failure on univariable logistic regression.

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Table 2.

Logistic regression of patient and surgical factors associated with arteriovenous fistula failure

Multivariable logistic regression of patient factors, including female sex, age, region of recruitment, DBP, presence of DM, presence of PVD, presence of CVC, hemoglobin levels, use of calcium channel blockers, and randomization to aspirin and fish oil, was performed in model 1. DBP was chosen over history of hypertension and mean arterial pressure for inclusion into model 1, because it is biologically plausible and most strongly associated statistically on univariable logistic regression. Female sex (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 1.60; 95% CI, 1.10 to 2.32), presence of CVC (adjusted OR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.05 to 2.23), and open-labeled aspirin use (adjusted OR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.00 to 2.53) were associated with increased odds of AVF failure (Table 2). In contrast, every 10-mm Hg increase in DBP (adjusted OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.73 to 0.97) and Malaysian region of recruitment (adjusted OR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.95; compared with ANZ) were associated with lower odds of AVF failure (Table 2).

When surgical factors (surgical expertise, type of AVF created, and use of local versus general or regional anesthesia) were added (model 2), Malaysian region of recruitment was no longer associated with lower AVF failure (adjusted OR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.34 to 1.25). Female sex (adjusted OR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.20 to 2.68), DBP (adjusted OR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.74 to 0.99), presence of CVC (adjusted OR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.02 to 2.20), and open-labeled use of aspirin (adjusted OR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.00 to 2.56) remained associated with AVF failure. None of the other surgical factors were associated with AVF failure in model 2. The Hosmer–Lemeshow goodness-of-fit values were six (P=0.65) and 8.26 (P=0.41) for model 1 and 2, respectively. Furthermore, the addition of surgical factors did not improve the prediction of AVF failure (AUC of 0.67 compared with 0.65 for model 1; P=0.08).

Among the factors identified to be associated with AVF failure, DBP was potentially modifiable. An inverse relationship was observed between DBP and AVF failure that remained unchanged on multivariable analysis when factors used in model 2 were added (Figure 1). The probability of AVF failure was >50% with DBP of ≤80 mm Hg (Figure 1). There was a similar trend toward greater probability of AVF failure with decreasing mean arterial pressure (Supplemental Figure 1) and, to a lesser extent, with systolic BP (Supplemental Figure 2). On the other hand, an association between higher pulse pressure and higher probability of AVF failure was observed (Supplemental Figure 3).

Figure 1.
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Figure 1.

Increase proportion of arteriovenous fistula (AVF) failure (composite outcome of AVF abandonment, thrombosis, and failure to cannulate) with decrease in diastolic BP. The light gray line reflects an almost inverse linear relationship between diastolic BP and proportion of AVF failure on univariable logistic regression, and the dashed gray line represent the 95% confidence interval at each diastolic BP level. The black line shows a similar relationship between diastolic BP and proportion of AVF failure on multivariable analysis adjusted for female sex, age, region of recruitment, presence of diabetes, presence of peripheral vascular disease, presence of central venous catheter, use of calcium channel blockers, hemoglobin levels, randomization to aspirin, randomization to fish oil, type of AVF created, surgical expertise, and type of anesthesia use; the dotted black line represents the 95% confidence interval.

Female participants had, on average, lower DBP (79.6±13.0 mm Hg) at baseline compared with males (82.4±13.5 mm Hg, P=0.02) (Supplemental Table 2), but no significant interaction between BP and sex was observed (P=0.79). It was also noted that female patients had more upper-arm AVFs created (62%), compared with only 29% (Supplemental Table 3) in males, but no significant interaction between AVF site and sex was observed (OR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.57 to 2.55; P=0.10).

Predictors of the Individual Components of AVF Failure

The factors associated with the individual outcomes of AVF thrombosis, abandonment, and cannulation failure were different (Table 3). Female sex was associated with increased odds of AVF abandonment (adjusted OR, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.27 to 3.20) and cannulation failure (adjusted OR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.16 to 2.61), but not AVF thrombosis. The presence of PVD was associated with increased odds of AVF abandonment (adjusted OR, 3.24; 95% CI, 1.31 to 7.98). The presence of CVC, lower DBP, and non-Malaysian region of recruitment were associated with higher odds of cannulation failure (CVC, adjusted OR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.11 to 2.46; DBP, adjusted OR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.68 to 0.93; region of recruitment, adjusted OR, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.26 to 0.98). Brachiocephalic AVFs were less likely to be abandoned compared with RC AVFs (adjusted OR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.29 to 0.81), whereas brachiobasilic AVFs were more likely to fail cannulation compared with RC AVFs (adjusted OR, 2.24; 95% CI, 1.07 to 4.53).

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Table 3.

Multivariable logistic regression analysis of patient and surgical factors for individual outcome components, including AVF abandonment, thrombosis, and cannulation failure at 12 mo

Discussion

This post hoc analysis of a large, multinational, multicenter, randomized controlled trial demonstrated that AVF failure was independently associated with female sex, lower DBP, presence of CVC, and medically required use of aspirin. Potentially modifiable, surgery-related factors, including surgical expertise, anesthesia, and AVF type, were not associated with AVF failure. Factors associated with individual components of AVF failure differed. Female sex, presence of PVD, and type of AVF created were associated with AVF abandonment, whereas low DBP, presence of CVC, and non-Malaysia region of recruitment were additional risk factors for cannulation failure.

The association between female sex and higher risk of AVF failure has been reported previously (12,19,32,33); however, the biologic process underpinning this observation remains uncertain. Although there is a commonly held belief that females have smaller vessel caliber and, therefore, are at increased risk of AVF failure, a retrospective sonographic evaluation of vessel size in 192 patients did not find consistent differences in vascular caliber between the two sexes (34). In this study, females were two-fold more likely to have their AVF created in their upper limb compared with their male counterparts. This may reflect physicians’ preference for upper-arm AVF in females to avoid inadequate vessel size. Unfortunately, there was no mandatory sonographic assessment of participants’ vessels in the FAVOURED trial to further explore this hypothesis. Although female participants in the FAVOURED study exhibited lower DBP, no significant interaction was observed to account for additional risk attributable to sex. Despite the increased risk of AVF failure in females, careful selection and preparation of female patients considered suitable for AVF surgery with thorough physical examination and preoperative sonographic examination of venous access may further improve outcomes (16,35).

Earlier studies suggested that tight control of systolic, diastolic, and/or mean arterial pressures preoperatively was associated with increased odds of AVF thrombosis (36,37) and early primary AVF failure (38,39). Pandey et al. (39) studied 224 patients prospectively and reported that patients with early AVF failure had lower DBP of 88.4 mm Hg, compared with 91.2 mm Hg in those with AVF success. Similarly, a retrospective review of 1051 patients found patients with early primary failure had lower DBP of 79.7 mm Hg, compared with 83.1 mm Hg in those with AVF success (38). In this study, lower DBP and mean arterial pressure presurgery were associated with an increased risk of AVF failure, with an AVF failure >50% at a DBP of ≤80 mm Hg. Higher pulse pressure, a potential measure of decreased vessel compliance, was observed to be associated with higher odds of AVF failure, but this was not statistically significant. After the creation of AVF, intradialytic hypotension has also been associated with a higher risk of AVF thrombosis (40). Lower DBP may lead to venous stasis, thereby predisposing to early AVF thrombosis, and may also reflect reduced vascular compliance associated with a wider pulse pressure, both impairing vascular remodeling and maturation (41). These findings suggest that maintaining a higher perioperative DBP may be a modifiable factor to improve AVF outcomes. However, prospective, randomized controlled studies are required to establish causality and recommend an optimal BP target, taking into consideration the overall perioperative risk profile and anticipated benefits.

The finding of an increased risk of AVF failure in patients with a CVC in this study is consistent with that reported in the Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (42⇓–44). This increased risk may be related to potential hemodynamic effects and central vein stenosis associated with ipsilateral catheter placement (45). In addition, CVC predispose patients to bloodstream infection and hospitalization (46), which could indirectly predispose to AVF failure via hypotension and the inflammatory response. However, CVC use may be a surrogate of patients referred late to a nephrology service, a known predictor of AVF failure (11,44) or other unadjusted confounders.

Whereas the FAVOURED study demonstrated that neither aspirin nor fish oil use was protective against AVF failure (30), this post hoc analysis did find that patients who were required to continue on open-label aspirin for clinical indications were more likely to experience AVF failure. Although cardiovascular disease, such as ischemic heart disease and PVD, were not associated with AVF outcomes, it is possible that open-label aspirin use identified patients with more severe cardiovascular disease that was not adequately adjusted for in multivariable logistic regression.

Another finding of this study was that different factors were associated with individual components of AVF failure. Whereas female sex was associated with overall poorer AVF outcomes, the presence of PVD was the predominant predictor of AVF abandonment. Participants with PVD may be at increased risk of steal syndrome or identify a population with more diffuse atherosclerosis, which might limit intervention to promote maturation and prevent AVF abandonment. Although the AVF location was not significantly associated with an increased risk of the composite outcome of AVF failure (P=0.06), it was associated with an increased risk of cannulation failure (P=0.04). Specifically, brachiobasilic AVFs were less likely to be successfully cannulated compared with RC AVFs. However, it remains unclear whether this is a statistical type-1 error, given the number of comparisons and small sample size. Alternatively, the observed association may have been due to the fact that brachiobasilic vessels tend to be deeper and technically more challenging to cannulate. It is also possible that other unadjusted factors, including prior history of AVF failure as a predictor of future AVF failure (47,48), maybe driving this association.

Despite selection of a comprehensive list of factors that might predict AVF failure, the overall diagnostic accuracy of the complete model was modest, with an AUC of 0.67. It is possible the predictive ability of the model could be further improved by including other pre- and postoperative measures, such as preoperative arterial and venous vessel size and adherence with vascular access surveillance and management protocols, which were not investigated in this study (16,20). Sonographic evaluation of artery and venous caliber has been associated with better selection of vessels suitable for AVF creation (12,13,15,16). Although postoperative care, such as dedicated protocolized surveillance to detect early AVF dysfunction (20), has yielded mixed results with respect to preventing AVF failure in studies, it is possible this may improve model prediction in this study. Whereas prediction models for AVF success are helpful, their accuracy is limited by the complexity of the process to establish a successful AVF. In particular, some practice-related factors of interest, such as surgical and cannulation expertise and techniques, are difficult to standardize and assess consistently across different studies and settings, thereby limiting the accuracy of prediction models. Beyond having a successful AVF, there should also be consideration of alternatives to AVF such as arteriovenous graft (49); alternative dialysis, such as peritoneal dialysis and even long-term tunneled dialysis catheter, depending on patient’s preferences; prior access history; expected life expectancy; anticipated dialysis start; and course of kidney replacement (3).

The strengths of this study included the use of a well-characterized study population from a randomized controlled trial, ensuring standardized and accurate collection of patient and surgical variables. A systematic and methodic approach was also taken in the analysis. However, several limitations exist, including the limited number of participants and events, insufficient granularity of data (such as severity of comorbidities, location of the CVC in relation to the AVF, history of previous failed vascular access, indication of AVF abandonment, or standardized preoperative sonographic assessment of vessel size and quality), lack of standardized BP assessment, and missing data that potentially introduced informative censoring bias. Furthermore, country-specific variation in practice patterns and expertise (e.g., surgical expertise measured as number of AVF creations as compared with phase of surgical training in this study or cannulation skills) were unavailable to better determine potentially modifiable predictors of AVF failure. This hypothesis is supported by the observation of lower risk of AVF failure among participants recruited in Malaysia compared with ANZ on univariable logistic regression, which was no longer evident when adjusting for surgical factors in model 2. Lastly, the trial population was younger with less PVD compared with the general hemodialysis population, which could limit the generalizability of the result.

Failure of newly created AVFs is a major barrier to the successful establishment of hemodialysis access and occurred in almost 50% of study participants. Female sex, low DBP, the need for aspirin therapy, and CVC dependence were associated with an increased risk of AVF failure. Avoidance of perioperative hypotension and CVCs at the time of AVF creation may help improve AVF outcomes and warrants further study.

Disclosures

A. Cass, C. Hawley, A. Irish, P. Kerr, T. Mori, E. Pascoe, P. Paul-Brent, and K. Polkinghorne report having received grants from Amgen Australia Pty Ltd., grants from Mylan EPD (at the time of funding it was known as Abbott Products Operations AG), and grant support from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) of Australia project grant. Y. Cho has previously received research grants from Baxter Healthcare and Fresenius Medical Care, and is a current recipient of a NHMRC Early Career Fellowship. C. Hawley has previously received research grants from Baxter Healthcare and Fresenius Medical Care. D. Johnson has previously received consultancy fees, research grants, speaker’s honoraria, and travel sponsorships from Baxter Healthcare and Fresenius Medical Care. He has received consultancy fees from AstraZeneca and AWAK, and travel sponsorship from Amgen. He is also the current recipient of a NHMRC Practitioner Fellowship. T. Mori is supported by a research fellowship from the NHMRC of Australia (1042255). A. Viecelli reports having received grant support from the NHMRC of Australia (Medical Postgraduate Scholarship) and the Royal Australasian College of Physicians (Jacquot NHMRC Medical Award for Excellence and Jacquot Research Establishment Fellowship). The original conduct of the FAVOURED trial was funded by grants from the NHMRC of Australia Project Grant APP458652, Amgen Australia Pty Ltd., and Abbott Products Operations AG (now Mylan EPD). Study medication was supplied by Abbott Products Operations AG (now Mylan EPD) (fish oil and placebo) and Bayer Healthcare (aspirin and placebo) free of charge. All remaining authors have nothing to disclose.

Funding

None.

Supplemental Material

This article contains the following supplemental material online at http://kidney360.asnjournals.org/lookup/suppl/doi:10.34067/KID.K36020200000273/DCSupplemental.

Supplemental Appendix. Omega 3 Fatty Acids (Fish Oils) and Aspirin in Vascular Access Outcomes in Renal Disease (FAVOURED) Study Collaborative Group.

Supplemental Table 1 Cannulation assessment periods.

Supplemental Table 2. Baseline BP profile according to gender.

Supplemental Table 3. Site of AVF created according to gender.

Supplemental Figure 1. Proportion of arteriovenous fistula failure (composite outcome of arteriovenous fistula abandonment, thrombosis and failure to cannulate) with change in mean arterial pressure.

Supplemental Figure 2. Proportion of arteriovenous fistula failure (composite outcome of arteriovenous fistula abandonment, thrombosis and failure to cannulate) with change in systolic BP.

Supplemental Figure 3. Proportion of arteriovenous fistula failure (composite outcome of arteriovenous fistula abandonment, thrombosis and failure to cannulate) with change in pulse pressure.

Acknowledgments

The authors gratefully acknowledge the contributions of all members of the FAVOURED Study Collaborative Group, dialysis nursing staff, trial coordinators, research staff, and most especially trial participants.

Portions of this manuscript were presented as a moderated poster at the European Renal Association–European Dialysis and Transplant Association conference 2020.

The drug manufacturer and the NHMRC of Australia had no role in study design, collection, analysis, interpretation of data, writing the report, or the decision to submit the report for publication.

The authors listed on the first page of this article constitute the FAVOURED trial writing committee.

The complete list of contributing institutions is included as a Supplemental Appendix.

Author Contributions

Y. Cho, C. Hawley, D. Johnson, E. Pascoe, Y. See, and A. Viecelli wrote the original draft; Y. Cho, C. Hawley, D. Johnson, E. Pascoe, and A. Viecelli provided supervision; Y. Cho, C. Hawley, E. Pascoe, Y. See, and A. Viecelli were responsible for formal analysis; C. Hawley, D. Johnson, E. Pascoe, Y. See, and A. Viecelli were responsible for methodology; C. Hawley, D. Johnson, and A. Viecelli conceptualized the study; E. Pascoe, P. Paul-Brent, and A. Viecelli were responsible for data curation; P. Paul-Brent, Y. See, and A. Viecelli were responsible for project administration; A. Viecelli was responsible for investigation; and all authors reviewed and edited the manuscript.

Footnotes

  • ↵* The FAVOURED Study Collaborative Group includes Chen Au Peh, Elaine Beller, Alan Cass, Sharan Dogra, David Gracey, Elvie Haluszkiewicz, Carmel Hawley, Lai-Seong Hooi, Colin Hutchison, Ashley Irish, Peter Kerr, Amanda Mather, Stephen McDonald, Chris McIntyre, Trevor Mori, Elaine Pascoe, Kevan Polkinghorne, Amanda Robertson, Johan Rosman, and David Voss (trial steering committee); Andrew Tonkin, Andrew Forbes, Adeera Levin, and David C. Wheeler (data and safety monitoring board); Krishna Karpe, Patricia Johnson, Martin Gallagher, Jenny Burman, Alistair Gillies, Leanne Garvey, Michael Suranyi, Belinda Yip, Grant Luxton, Debbie Pugh, Kathleen McNamara, Bruce Cooper, Cheryl Macadam, Kate Wyburn, Samantha Hand, Meg Jardine, Anne Heath, Dakshinamurthy Divi, Tammy Schmidt, Andrew Bofinger, Leanne Glancy, David Mudge, Amanda Coburn, Sree Krishna Venuthurpali, Elizabeth Coroneos, Suzi Hanna, George Kan, Vicki Hartig, Karen Katil, Meg Hockley, Peter Mount, Pascal Bisscheroux, Maree Ross-Smith, Rob McGinley, Anthony Perkins, Kevan Polkinghorne, Mechelle Seneviratne, Eugenie Pedagogos, Connie Karchimkus, Solomon Menahem, Suzanne Douglas, Vicki Levidiotis, Debra Broomfield, Jason Bennier, Paolo Ferrari, Ulrich Steinweadel, Ashley Irish, Maria Martin, Monika Chang, Sharan Dogra, Susan Pellicano, Helen Herson, Ravindran Visvanathan, Norlida Omar, Zanariah Arsat, Loke-Meng Ong, Ah-Heong Ang, Sukeri Mohamad, Najhah Md Nawi, Anita Bhajan Manocha, Norhaniza Bt Adom, Lai-Seong Hooi, Wen Jiun Liu, Mohd Rais Bin Periman, Norisham Bin Mohd Dom, Zawawi Nordin, Suhaizan Bt Mohd Rasidi, Indralingam Vaithilingam, Ramli Zaraee, Lim Soo Kun, Tiviyah Sinniah, John Schollum, Liz Berry, David Voss, Penelope Eadie, Chris McIntyre, and Marie Appleby (investigators); Neil Boudville, Alan Cass, Carmel Hawley, Meg Jardine, David Johnson, and Vlado Perkovic (Australasian Kidney Trials Network executive committee members); and Carmel Hawley, David Johnson, Alicia Morrish, Elaine Pascoe, Peta-Anne Paul-Brent, Donna Reidlinger, Liza Vergara, Elaine Beller, Sunil Badve, Anish Scaria, and Stephane Heritier (Australasian Kidney Trials Network project management team).

  • Received May 5, 2020.
  • Accepted August 27, 2020.
  • Copyright © 2020 by the American Society of Nephrology

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Predictors of Arteriovenous Fistula Failure: A Post Hoc Analysis of the FAVOURED Study
Yong Pey See, Yeoungjee Cho, Elaine M. Pascoe, Alan Cass, Ashley Irish, David Voss, Kevan R. Polkinghorne, Lai Seong Hooi, Loke-Meng Ong, Peta-Anne Paul-Brent, Peter G. Kerr, Trevor A. Mori, Carmel M. Hawley, David W. Johnson, Andrea K. Viecelli
Kidney360 Nov 2020, 1 (11) 1259-1269; DOI: 10.34067/KID.0002732020

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Predictors of Arteriovenous Fistula Failure: A Post Hoc Analysis of the FAVOURED Study
Yong Pey See, Yeoungjee Cho, Elaine M. Pascoe, Alan Cass, Ashley Irish, David Voss, Kevan R. Polkinghorne, Lai Seong Hooi, Loke-Meng Ong, Peta-Anne Paul-Brent, Peter G. Kerr, Trevor A. Mori, Carmel M. Hawley, David W. Johnson, Andrea K. Viecelli
Kidney360 Nov 2020, 1 (11) 1259-1269; DOI: 10.34067/KID.0002732020
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